What’s next…

Posted: 02/02/2012 by bc in Uncategorized

Even if you accept that 92 points should be good enough to finish as the 8th and final playoff seed, our Ducks need to take 47 of the remaining 64 points to get there. That’s a P% rate of .734. It requires a record in the remaining 32 games of 23-8-1.
But yeah, you’re sitting there in your I believe Ducks T and you’re sayin’ 23-8-1 is doable. Maybe so but is it enough to win a tiebreaker? P% is probably equal among teams tied for the final playoff spot. Then you subtract shootout wins and the team with the most RT & OT wins gets the nod. If there’s a still a tie, it’s decided by head to head competition. Head  to head against the pack teams, we have a winning record against Phoenix. The fourth tiebreaker is goal differential.Eric Duhatschek, writing in the Globe & Mail reminds us that, “hope is a seductive quality.” Teams positioned similarly to our Ducks generally start calling up the talent from the subordinate leagues. Planning for next season begins in earnest. It also means they start trading off their pending UFA’s for picks and prospects. Duhatschek thinks, “….the price for rentals could go sky high this season, with only the Columbus Blue Jackets and the Edmonton Oilers completely and irrevocably out of playoff contention.”

Of the pending UFA’s Teemu Selanne is far and away Ducks most valuable asset. It’s Teemu’s call to make but every contender will be inquiring about his availability. Boston, Pittsburgh, Detroit, Chicago or San Jose are the most likely destinations.

Saku Koivu controls his own fate but he’s also never had his name inscribed on the Stanley Cup. Would he move for the chance? Teams looking for a top six upgrade, specifically at center include Chicago, Pittsburgh (pending Crosby’s outcome) St. Louis where Patrik Berglund hasn’t shown enough to justify his TOI.

Nik Hagman and Jason Blake, have the veteran depth scoring qualities many playoff teams seek. Nashville, Minnesota, NYR and Florida are playoff quality teams with a glaring need for added scoring.

Stay@home D-men are an increasingly hot commodity as the deadline approaches. Ducks have the honest, hard-working Sheldon Brookbank who may be this year’s Sean O’Donnell or Steve Montador. And Brooksie can be pressed into service as a depth winger if needed. Expect Vancouver to come a callin’ fer sure. Florida is banged up with Ed Jovanovski and Dimitry Kulikov on IR.  Los Angeles is a team needing an upgrade at the 6th D roster spot. Brookbank could be an excellent fit in San Jose as well.

The pure enforcer is quickly going out of fashion in the new NHL. There are playoff bound teams need some serious grit. Vancouver leads the pack here.

Another player who should keep a bag packed is Toni Lydman. As a shot blocking, stay@home D-man Lydman will be a much sought after commodity. Expect somebody to step up (Chicago, Detroit) and make Bob Murray an offer he can’t refuse.

Come February 29 our Ducks could look like:

Getzlaf-Ryan-Perry/Visnovsky-Sbisa
Bonino-Beleskey-Cogliano/Beauchemin-Fowler
Holland-Maroon-DSP/Guenin-Cumiskey or Schultz
McMillan-Pelly-Palmieri

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